Syrian Rebellion

I had opined earlier that without serious outside help which the world would not give the Syrian rebels would more than likely lose.  It appears that the assault on the rebels has begun and they are losing and losing badly.  Syria has access to just too much firepower and man power.  With Iran and Hezbollah both helping plus around a 300,000 man well armed and trained (to fight Israel army) military.  Air power alone is not enough to help them as the first several hundred missions will be to roll back Syrian air defenses which are significantly better than Libya's or even Iran during the first Gulf War. Also the Syrian's have a significant chemical (verified) capability combine this with Iran being able to hit any target it wants in the Middle East with conventional rockets attacking Syrian directly becomes a thorny issue that will have to have substantial Arab backing.  Go back to the poll from yesterday that view the U.S. as the 800lbs gorilla in the room and it is doubtful the Arab street would take well to another Western invasion. 

The rebels just do not have the firepower or a sanctuary like the Vietnamese or the Taliban currently have to sustain a campaign against the Assad government.  The rebels are right in front of Syrian firepower with no way to flee from it.  Unless Turkey wants to step up and with its new found friendship with Iran it ts doubtful the Syrian military and security services are just too strong.

Interesting New Poll from the Middle East

A poll reported by al JazeeraThe U.S. which has done nothing but support the Arab Spring, militarily help overthrow one dictator, and politically another (who was an ally) is still viewed less favorably than the realy enemy at the door step Iran. "73 per cent of those polled see Israel and the US as the two most threatening countries. Five per cent see Iran as the most threatening."  This is a telling statement that I think comes from two things year of Arab countries blaming the West particularly the U.S. on all of their woes. Crops were bad the U.S. caused it, you cannot get a job the Jews did it. This is the kind of things the Arab governments tell their people to deflect the blame from themselves. 

Another telling finding is "A relatively high 36 per cent wouldn't support those they disagree with in their political platform to take power, a percentage that doesn't bode well for democracy".  This tells me there will always be revoluts or the threat of them no matter who comes to power or how.

If it were not for the oil I would be all for letting this region rot in its own igonorance.  The problem with this is with their very high percentage of military aged males it makes this region ripe for causing trouble if something or someone where able to unite the Arab nations like the poll suggests the people want that could cause serious trouble.  We would always have to keep an eye on them.

We need to exploit every oil field and source that we have and work very quickly on other types of cheap energy.

Why is it only our Navy is under threat

Naval spending by the six Gulf Co-operation Council (GCC) states has markedly increased in recent years as the region seeks to build upon maritime security...From Janes